Will AI replace humanity in future?

Question

Abadesi · Accepted Answer

I think it depends. We already see automation happening for some roles, e.g. autonomous vehicles and truck drivers. But many experts say that other roles that require creative impulse and nuance will become more important. Also - could we ever have an AI ethicist? I doubt it.

Artem Galenko · Answer

I believe that it is impossible! But I'm strongly sure that future man is the merging of a Human and AI

Erick Wachira · Answer

I think general AI and humans will co exist

Ruben Lozano · Answer

I think some of the tasks the AI will replace the human... Let's see.

Devender Kumar · Answer

@anna_panchenko AI can take professions from humanity but it cannot replace humans

TOP HIT · Answer

Invalid poll. The third option would be correct. There will be a symbiosis. By the way, this is the only way to maintain the consciousness of the species and overcome the barrier of intraspecific competition. Only in biological "firmware" is this barrier insurmountable, since biological "intelligence", in mass statistics, is not able to control egregors.

Karim · Answer

Bit of a long response, since I spend a lot of time thinking about this one, so forgive the length. I see it as less likely than an asteroid wiping us out. I assume "replace" humanity means "take our jobs" or do most of the work that humans currently do, rather than kill us or make us extinct. In either case, the answer is no, in my opinion.

The jobs argument generally goes something like, computers will get better, cheaper, and faster at doing jobs humans currently do, and then humans will have nothing to do. The first one is debatable, the second one is absurd. I'll tackle the second one first, it's easier.

Even if AI performed all the repetitive jobs - let's say, driving vehicles, filling out paperwork, filing taxes, providing customer support, designing stuff, coding software, doing research in law, academia, finance, the purpose of labour in a capitalist society is not to provide jobs that are "necessary" (strictly speaking, our work has ceased to be necessary to survive since the industrial revolution and is rather, generally, work in support of other work). All of wall street, most of law, most of tech/silicon valley, most consumer goods, fashion, music, film - none of these things are necessary to humanity, and yet giant industries exist to create them because we like to make things, exchange them with each other, and get money. Capitalism is the sale of goods and labour in support of itself, not out of necessity. This isn't my idea, I stole it from Yuval Noah Hariri but I thought it was pretty spot on. So I think even as computers start to automate some jobs, humanity will find other work to do. They certainly won't sit around idle, otherwise most of us would have stopped working after we stopped running small-scale farms to sustain our families. Most of us are doing jobs that did not exist 100 years ago. There's no reason to expect jobs will end as certain ones become obsolete.

The second argument, that AI will start to do a significant portion of the jobs today, seems unlikely as well. I'm not an AI expert or practitioner, I'm a computer programmer but I've only done a bit of AI tinkering, but it seems like people overestimate the efficacy of current AI in terms of general intelligence. It's good at specific intelligence (doing a well defined, rule-based task) like making movie recommendations, summarizing text, responding to questions that are always the same (customer support), driving a car, playing games, classifying things (medical things, images, loan risk), recreating things from examples (art, music) but it doesn't seem like we are anywhere near the situation where we can drop a machine in the place of a human for most of the jobs humans do. Trying to do even a simple task like schedule an appointment between 3 people with an AI assistant is painful. Vehicles are probably the biggest threat, and maybe customer support (but using those bots isn't great), but I'm not sure what other jobs we're expecting computers to start performing that represent a large portion of the labour force.

Answer

I think it's not going to replace u ass the "predominat species" on the planet, but I think, in a long time, it's going to replace humanity in jobs. Robots are starting to learn to cook, AI to drive, computers to replace cashiers, etc..
Again, in looong time

artrayd · Answer

I don't know. It's impossible to predict the future because of the fact of prediction - changes the future just like in quantum mechanics.

Also most of the things predicted from the past - didn't happen, now it looks logical that we have internet, most of the world talks English, democracy is dominating, but 100-200 years ago... no one could even imagine it. The same situation is today.

Before reading "Sapiens: A Brief History of Humankind" by Yuval Noah Harari I could answer differently.

Trell West · Answer

I dont think replace but govern yes.

Tomi Gelo · Answer

Replacing as in taking over tasks and jobs where AI can perform better? Sure.

Replacing as in 'sci-fi movie kinda apocalypse where humans are slaves to the robots? Probably not.

Ricardo Alamino · Answer

Everybody is ok when one says that machines are stronger than men... Or they are faster than humans. We all know, nowadays, machines can make calculations faster and more precise than any human being.

So, the logical thought is that they shall be more intelligent in a coming future. After they become smarter and, eventually, replicate themselves, they will look at humans as we look to an insect. Humans will no longer understand Them, neither their objectives.

After a short period they will be able to lie or pretend their wills for their own objectives. Humankind is doomed... AI will replace us as they will be more efficient, more intelligent and whatever they are able to be... We only don´t know When this will happen.

Alex Devero · Answer

I don't think AI will replace humanity. History showed us that any invention or progress in technology usually leads to creation of new jobs. Take cars or agriculture and farming for example. People were afraid that these will cause a huge rise of unemployment. That didn't happen. Today, there are more more jobs in automobile industry and agriculture and farming then ever before, and new are still emerging.

So, yes, AI will replace people in some areas, some jobs. However, it will also lead to creation new jobs, jobs we can't even imagine at this moment. In general, I am optimistic about the future.

Pankaj Singh · Answer

Humanity will remain :)

Wei Chun · Answer

It really depends on your definition of future, i.e time horizon. Over the next 10 years? Probably not. 100 years? Probably.

The advancement of AI can generally be categorized into 3 stages: Narrow, General and Super AI.

We are currently still at Narrow AI and barely scraping the surface of General AI. Super AI is still a theory at the moment (think along the lines of the movie I, Robot by Will Smith). With that said, AI has already made a sizeable impact to many industries despite it being at its infancy.

Will AI replace humanity in future?

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